The odds of the U.S. economy slipping into a recession have grown in recent months, according to global financial services company UBS. In an analysis cited by Fortune, the global financial services ...

The U.S. has not been in an economic recession since 2022. The last recession was in 2020, at the very start of the COVID-19 pandemic. The National Bureau of Economic Research, a nonprofit, ...

Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period ...

The number of companies mentioning the term "recession" when discussing their financial results has shot up to its highest level since 2022. According to a study by financial data firm FactSet, of the ...

There are certain words you don’t want to hear in a medical checkup or in an investment bank’s recession outlook: “stable but elevated.” It’s a phrase that could refer to blood pressure, even risk of ...

(Reuters) -Goldman Sachs on Thursday trimmed its U.S. recession probability to 30% from 35% for the next twelve months on easing uncertainty around President Donald Trump's tariff policies after the U ...

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a “significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months.” Three criteria – ...

TMC Research’s nowcast of recession risk continues to indicate a low probability that a downturn has started or is imminent. The economy has probably slowed in Q4, but the downshift doesn’t look sharp ...

With tariffs taking effect, many economists are raising the probability of a recession in the coming year. Even if we do face an economic downturn, the right strategy can protect your portfolio.

The warning lights on the U.S. economy are no longer faint or isolated, and the message from Moody's chief economist is that the risk of a downturn is now too large to shrug off. As growth slows, ...

If you were president of the United States and wanted to engineer a recession by summer, at least one economist says a very effective way of doing that would be to announce sweeping "Liberation Day" ...